可再生能源能解决全球气候问题：可再生能源项目如何借力气候科学工具
可再生能源能解决全球气候问题：可再生能源项目如何借力气候科学工具Date: Wednesday 17th March 2021Webinar Details 研讨会详情2月中旬，德克萨斯州遭遇的冬季极端天气，给整个州的电网造成了破坏，进而影响了人们的生活。作为美国第二大州，德克萨斯州拥有全美41%的石油化工产量和28%的风能供应，堪称 "能源之心"。然而，在此次寒流中，石油停产数日，天然气发电量减少，涡轮机被冻坏，导致风电瘫痪。就连供应该州近10%电力的墨西哥海岸的南德克萨斯核电站，也或因冷却机组的水泵被冻而无法运行。而用电需求的飙升，迫使德州电网实施短期轮流停电。在全球气候变暖的背景下，强降雨、高温热浪等极端天气气候事件发生趋势愈加明显。1951年以来，中国平均气温和极端气温都呈显著升高的趋势，一些极端天气气候事件呈现出强度更强、频率更密、时间更长的特点。从全球看，世界气象组织发布的《2019年全球气候状况声明》显示，2011年至2020年成为有记录
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The extreme winter weather that hit Texas in mid-February caused havoc not only to the entire state grid but also in peoples’ lives. Texas is the second largest state in the United States and it is home to 41% of the nation's petrochemical production and 28% of the wind energy supply making it the "heart of energy". During the cold snap however oil production stopped for days natural gas generation was reduced and wind power was crippled as turbines froze. Even the South Texas Nuclear Power Plant on the Mexican coast which supplies nearly 10% of the state's electricity was unable to operate because the pumps that cool the units were frozen. While demand for electricity soared the Texas grid sustained short-term rotating blackouts.
When seen in the context of global warming it becomes apparent that the event is a part of a growing trend of extreme weather events which can also include heavy rainfall and heat waves in other regions. Since 1951 China has seen a significant increase in both average and extreme temperatures; extreme weather such as heatwaves have become stronger more frequent and have also lasted longer. Globally the 2020 Global Climate Status Statement released by the World Meteorological Organisation shows that the last decade from 2011 to 2020 was the warmest on record. The new energy and power industries are heavily influenced by meteorological conditions which affect demand supply and operating infrastructure. Climate services play a vital role in all stages of planning design construction operation and maintenance.
This webinar showcases some of the outcomes of the six-year Sino-British Climate Science Services Partnership’s (CSSP) China project from 2014 to 2020 a joint effort between climate scientists from both countries. This webinar will invite scientists and engineers to present the tools and services they have developed for businesses and policy makers to make them aware of current and future climate risks. We will focus on the Yangtze River Delta region of China and discuss the role and application of climate services in renewable energy projects.
2月中旬，德克萨斯州遭遇的冬季极端天气，给整个州的电网造成了破坏，进而影响了人们的生活。作为美国第二大州，德克萨斯州拥有全美41%的石油化工产量和28%的风能供应，堪称 "能源之心"。然而，在此次寒流中，石油停产数日，天然气发电量减少，涡轮机被冻坏，导致风电瘫痪。就连供应该州近10%电力的墨西哥海岸的南德克萨斯核电站，也或因冷却机组的水泵被冻而无法运行。而用电需求的飙升，迫使德州电网实施短期轮流停电。
在全球气候变暖的背景下，强降雨、高温热浪等极端天气气候事件发生趋势愈加明显。1951年以来，中国平均气温和极端气温都呈显著升高的趋势，一些极端天气气候事件呈现出强度更强、频率更密、时间更长的特点。从全球看，世界气象组织发布的《2019年全球气候状况声明》显示，2011年至2020年成为有记录以来最热的10年。新能源和电力行业受气象和气候条件影响较大。气候服务在规划设计、建设施工、运行维护等各个阶段都发挥着不可替代的重要作用。
本次研讨会展示了2014-2020年为期六年的 "中英气候科学服务伙伴关系"（CSSP）中国项目的一些成果，该项目由两国的气候科学家共同完成。本次网络研讨会，科学家和工程师将介绍他们为企业和决策者开发的工具，使其认识到当前和未来的气候风险。本次研讨会我们把话题聚焦在中国长三角地区，共同探讨气候服务能够在新能源项目中的所起到的作用和具体应用。
Webinar Details 研讨会详情
Date: Wednesday 17th March 2021
日期：2021年3月17日 星期三
Time:16:00-17:40 (China Time) 8:00-09:40 (UK Time)
时间: 16:00-17:40 (北京时间) 8:00-9:40 (伦敦时间)
Language: English and Chinese with simultaneous interpretation provided
直播语言：英文、中文，提供同声传译
Webinar Host 研讨会主持人
Vicky Lucas
Training Development Manager
The Institute for Environmental Analytics
University of Reading
维琪-卢卡斯
培训发展经理
雷丁大学环境分析研究所
Webinar Agenda 会议议程
16:00 - 16:05
Words of Welcome & Brief Intro
欢迎与简介
Vicky Lucas Training Manager Institute for Environmental Analytics University of Reading
维琪·卢卡斯，培训发展经理，雷丁大学环境分析研究所
16:05 - 16:15
Climate Services for the European Energy Sector
应用在欧洲能源行业的气候服务
Jennifer Weeks Climate Services Scientist Met Office
詹妮弗·威克斯，气候服务科学家，英国气象局
16:15 - 16:25
Seasonal Climate Prediction with Applications for Wind Energy and for Yangtze Rainfall
应用于风能和长江领域降水的季节气候预测
Dr Philip Bett Senior climate scientist Met Office Hadley Centre
菲利普·贝特博士，资深气候学家，英国气象局哈德利中心
16:25 - 16:35
A New Energy Analytics Platform and it’s Utility for Expanding the Penetration of Renewable Energy
全新的能源分析平台 — 一个扩大可再生能源渗透的实用工具
Andrew Groom Business Development Manager Institute for Environmental Analytics
安德鲁·格鲁姆，业务拓展经理，环境分析研究所
16:35 - 16:45
Estimation of the Offshore Extreme Winds at 100m over Jiangsu Province Based on Spectral Correction and Numerical Simulation
基于谱校正和数值模拟的江苏省100米近海极端风估算
Dr Rui Chang Senior Engineer National Climate Center of CMA
常蕊博士，高级工程师，国家气候中心
16:45 - 17:00
The Application of Seasonal Climate Forecasting for Wind Energy
季节性气候预测在风能中的应用
Guan Wang Electricity Meteorology Researcher State Power Investment Corporation
王冠，电力气象研究员，国家电投中电投电力工程有限公司
17:00 - 17:05
Survey and Break
投票与中场休息
17:05 - 17:35
Q&A
问答
17:35 - 17:40
Wrap-Up
结语
Webinar Platform 参会平台
This webinar will be held on Zoom. It is important that you download and install Zoom (desktop client or mobile App) in advance of the session. Please use the correct Zoom version as using a different version may result in difficulties in joining the session. Desktop client and mobile App are both available at:
https://zoom.us/support/download and https://zoom.com.cn/download
此次研讨会将在Zoom平台举行。烦请提前下载安装Zoom电脑客户端或手机应用软件。为了您能顺利加入会议，请使用正确的Zoom版本，以防版本冲突导致无法加入。客户端和手机应用均可在以下链接下载：
https://zoom.us/support/download 或 https://zoom.com.cn/download
Registration报名方式
Please scan the QR code below and fill in the form to complete registration. The webinar link will then be sent to you via email. Should you have any questions please contact: Hao.Liu@cbbc.org
Speaker Profiles 嘉宾简介
Vicky Lucas
Training Manager
Institute for Environmental Analytics
University of Reading
维琪·卢卡斯
培训发展经理
雷丁大学环境分析研究所
Originally a physicist air quality scientist and weather forecaster Vicky Lucas’s professional experiences include working in the UK commercial energy sector on the environmental planning of fossil-fuel stations and wind farms. Now a trainer Vicky focusses on communicating with a range of end users delivering online and face-to-face learning activities including applying climate science and the Sustainable Development Goals.
维琪-卢卡斯原本是一名物理学家、空气质量科学家和天气预报员，她的专业经验包括气象研究、在商业能源部门工作，负责化石燃料站和风电场的环境规划。维琪现在是一名培训师，她专注于与一系列终端用户进行沟通，提供在线和面对面的学习活动，包括应用气候科学和可持续发展目标。
Jennifer Weeks
Climate Services Scientist
Met Office
珍妮弗·威克斯
气候服务科学家
英国气象局
Jennifer Weeks is part of the International Climate Services team at the Met Office. Her work involves understanding specific user requirements in the energy and agricultural sectors and working closely with partners and decision-makers in China to provide climate information that is useful and usable.
Jennifer is also involved in developing sea level projections and running stakeholder workshops for coastal climate services in the South Pacific and South Asia regions. Jennifer holds a Masters degree in Earth Sciences from the University of Oxford.
珍妮弗·威克斯是英国气象局国际气候服务团队的一员。她的工作包括了解能源和农业部门的具体用户需求，并与中国的合作伙伴和决策者密切合作，提供有用的气候信息。詹妮弗还参与了海平面预测的开发，并为南太平洋和南亚地区的沿海气候服务举办利益相关者研讨会。詹妮弗拥有牛津大学地球科学硕士学位。
About Met Office
The Met Office is the UK’s national meteorological service providing critical weather services and world-leading climate science helping people make better decisions to stay safe and thrive. They translate complex science predictions and projections into advice that can be acted on and work with partners worldwide to help them manage their climate-related risks. The International Climate Services team within the Met Office is working to engage with users of climate information in the energy community as part of the Climate Science for Service Partnership (CSSP) China project supporting by the UK Government’s Newton Fund. This involves identifying requirements for climate information to develop protype climate services and inform underpinning scientific research.
英国气象局是英国的国家气象服务机构，提供重要的天气服务和世界领先的气候科学，帮助人们做出更好的决定，以保持安全和繁荣。它们将复杂的科学、预测和预测转化为可以付诸行动的建议，并与世界各地的合作伙伴合作，帮助它们管理与气候相关的风险。英国气象局的国际气候服务团队正在努力与能源界的气候信息用户建立联系，这是由英国政府牛顿基金支持的气候科学服务伙伴关系(CSSP)中国项目的一部分。这包括确定对气候信息的需求，以开发气候服务原型，并为基础科学研究提供信息。
Dr Philip Bett
Senior climate scientist
Met Office Hadley Centre
菲利普·贝特博士
资深气候学家
英国气象局哈德利中心
Philip works in the Impacts of Climate Variability team within the Monthly to Decadal Variability & Prediction area of the Met Office. His research focuses on developing new ways of using seasonal forecasts often with applications in the energy sector in the UK Europe and China. This has involved understanding the capabilities and limitations of seasonal forecasting systems as well as the requirements of potential forecast users and ensuring that these are communicated well in both directions.
菲利普在英国气象局的气候变化影响研究小组工作，研究范围从月度到十年期的气候变化和预测区域。他的研究重点是开发使用季节性预测的新方法，通常应用于英国、欧洲和中国的能源部门。这包括了解季节性预测系统的能力和局限性，以及潜在预测用户的需求，并确保这些需求在两个方向上得到良好沟通。
Andrew Groom
Business Development Manager
Institute for Environmental Analytics
安德鲁·格鲁姆
业务拓展经理
环境分析研究所
Andrew Groom is an experienced Business Development professional working at the Institute for Environmental Analytics. Andrew’s professional experience includes 14 years working in the UK Space sector and 10 years working in the UK Financial sector. At the IEA Andrew works with a highly talented development team on Re-Sat and is leading on the business development aspects of this initiative alongside other IEA initiatives. Andrew’s academic qualifications include a Bachelor of Science degree a Bachelor of Science Honours degree and a Master of Science degree.
安德鲁·格鲁姆是一位在环境分析研究所工作的经验丰富的商业发展专业人士。他的专业经验包括在英国航天部门工作14年以上，在英国金融部门工作10年以上。在IEA 他与一个非常有才华的开发团队一起开展Re-Sat项目，并领导该项目与IEA其他项目的业务发展。安德鲁的学历证书包括理学学士学位、理学荣誉学士学位和理学硕士学位。
Dr Rui Chang
Senior Engineer
National Climate Center of CMA
常蕊博士
高级工程师
中国国家气候中心
Dr Chang Rui now a senior engineer at the National Climate Center has been responsible for the research development and application services of wind and solar energy resource assessment and prediction technology for the past 10 years. According to the actual needs of clean energy development a three-dimensional assessment method of wind and solar energy resources was developed which improved the refinement and scientific connotation of resource assessment. The results were applied to 10 major climate service projects and national targeted photovoltaic poverty alleviation. To meet the needs of large-scale wind and solar energy industry development planning the climate and environmental effect assessment work of major power generation projects was innovatively carried out. She has participated in more than 10 national and provincial projects on renewable energy and published 10 papers as the first author (5 SCI papers).
常蕊博士，现为国家气候中心高级工程师，近10年一直承担风能太阳能资源评估预测技术研发及应用服务工作。针对清洁能源开发实际需求，研制了风能太阳能资源立体评估技术方法，提高了资源评估的精细化程度和科学内涵，成果应用于10个重大气候服务项目及国家光伏精准扶贫中；面向风能太阳能大规模产业发展规划需求，创新开展重大发电工程的气候环境效应评价工作。主持/骨干参加10多项可再生能源方面的国家和省部级项目，发表第一作者论文10篇（5篇SCI）。
Guan Wang
Electricity Meteorology Researcher
State Power Investment Corporation
王冠
电力气象研究员
国家电投中电投电力工程有限公司
Guan Wang is part of State Power Investment Corporation Wind Power Innovation Center Institute of Electricity Meteorology.
Her focuses on the resource census and evaluation of wind power and solar energy in order to fully utilized the wind power plant’s capacity maximized the investment efficiency of wind power projects. Seasonal climate forecasting is part of the SPIC's Yu Feng Platform System. She participates in another main technology of Yu Feng Platform called the Fast-Downscaling Wind Farm Client & Wind Farm Micro Characters Database System including system debugging system operation monitoring and data analysis of relevant meteorological elements. The system is mainly practice in company owned wind power projects to complete large-scale and high-resolution wind resource computation in complex terrain. She studied at the University of California Davis majoring in Environmental Science & Management and Statistics.
王冠是国家电投风电产业创新中心电力气象研究所的成员。她的工作重点包括对风、光资源普查及评估，以充分挖掘风电场的发电潜力，最大化提升风电项目的投资效率。季节性气候预测为集团公司御风系统的技术体系之一。御风系统的另一主要技术包括她参与的快速降尺度场端系统与风电场微尺度特性库建模系统技术应用，及相关气象要素的数据分析、系统调试和系统运行监测，该系统主要应用在公司各风场项目中完成复杂地形大范围高分辨率的风资源计算。她曾就读于美国加州大学戴维斯分校，主修环境科学与管理和统计学专业。
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